Correlation between the duration of locoregional control and survival in T1–T2 oropharyngeal cancer patients

Purpose: To investigate the correlation between the time to locoregional recurrence and survival in T1–T2 oropharyngeal squamous-cell carcinoma (OPSCC) patients. Methods: A retrospective, single-site study of patients with T1–T2 OPSCC treated with curative intent between 2000 and 2015 who had a locoregional recurrence without distant metastases. Patients without a disease-free interval (i.e., persistent macroscopic disease after the end of treatment and a time to locoregional recurrence of less than 3 months) were excluded. The endpoint considered was overall survival (OS). Results: Out of 602 T1–T2 OPSCC patients, 121 patients had a locoregional recurrence and they were, hence, analyzed. All of the patients were heavy-smokers, with a consumption of more than 20 pack-years. The recurrence was local in 59.5%, regional in 27.3%, and both local and regional in 13.2% of the patients. The median time to locoregional recurrence and median OS was 15 months and 44 months, respectively. The time to locoregional recurrence was correlated with OS (p < 0.0001). In multivariate analyses, factors associated with survival were an initial N0–N2a versus N2b–N3 nodal staging and a 12-month threshold for the time to locoregional recurrence. Conclusions: Locoregional control in T1–T2 OPSCC is not only a qualitative prognostic factor but also a quantitative prognostic factor of survival. A time to locoregional recurrence of less than 12 months was correlated with an unfavorable prognosis.