End-tidal carbon dioxide pressure measurement after prolonged inspiratory time gives a good estimation of the arterial carbon dioxide pressure in mechanically ventilated patients

Background: End-tidal carbon dioxide pressure (PetCO2) is unreliable for monitoring PaCO2 in several conditions because of the unpredictable value of the PaCO2–PetCO2 gradient. We hypothesised that increasing both the end-inspiratory pause and the expiratory time would reduce this gradient in patients ventilated for COVID-19 with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome and patients anaesthetised for surgery. Methods: On the occasion of an arterial blood gas sample, an extension in inspiratory pause was carried out either by recruitment manoeuvre or by extending the end-inspiratory pause to 10 s. The end-expired PCO2 was measured (expiratory time: 4 s) after this manoeuvre (PACO2) in comparison with the PetCO2 measured by the monitor. We analysed Δ(a-et)CO2, Δ(a-A)CO2 pairs for 7 patients in the COVID group and for 27 patients in the anaesthesia group. Results are expressed as mean ± standard deviation. Results: Prolongation of the inspiratory pause significantly reduced PaCO2–PetCO2 gradients from 11 ± 5.7 and 5.7 ± 3.4 mm (p < 0.001) to PaCO2–PACO2 gradients of −1.2 ± 3.3 (p = 0.043) and −1.9 ± 3.3 mm Hg (p < 0.003) in COVID and anaesthesia groups, respectively. In the COVID group, PACO2 showed the lowest dispersion (−7 to +6 mm Hg) and better correlation with PaCO2 (R² = 0.92). The PACO2 had a sen-sitivity of 0.81 and a specificity of 0.93 for identifying hypercapnic patients (PaCO2 > 50 mm Hg). Conclusions: Measuring end-tidal PCO2 after prolonged inspiratory time reduced the PaCO2– PetCO2 gradient to the point of obtaining values close to PaCO2. This measure identified hyper-capnic patients in both intensive care and during anaesthesia.