Simple criteria to predict margin involvement after chemoradiotherapy and sphincter-sparing for low rectal cancer

Abstract Background Low rectal cancers carry a high risk of circumferential margin involvement (CRM+). The anatomy of the lower part of the rectum and a long course of chemoradiotherapy (CRT) limit the accuracy of imaging to predict the CRM+. Additional criteria are required. Methods Eighty six patients undergoing rectal resection with a sphincter-sparing procedure after CRT for low rectal cancer between 2000 and 2013 were retrospectively reviewed. Risk factors of CRM+ and the cut-off number of risk factors required to accurately predict the CRM+ were analyzed. Results The CRM+ rate was 9.3% and in the multivariate analysis, the significant risk factors were a tumor size exceeding 3 cm, poor response to CRT and a fixed tumor. The best cut-off to predict CRM+ was the presence of 2 risk factors. Patients with 0-1 and 2-3 risk factors had a CRM+ respectively in 1.3% and 50% of cases and a 3-year recurrence rate of 7% and 35% after a median follow-up of 50 months. Conclusions Poor response, a residual tumor greater than 3 cm and a fixed tumor are predictive of CRM+. Sphincter sparing is an oncological safety procedure for patients with 0-1 criteria but not for patients with 2-3 criteria.